---
title: "Supplementary Materials for Persuasion and Precision: How Generative AI Moves Inflation Expectations"
author:
  - name: David Hagmann
    affiliations:
      - name: The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
        department: Department of Management
  - name: Yang Lu
    affiliations:
      - name: The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
        department: Department of Economics
toc: true
toc-title: Contents
number-sections: false
format:
  pdf:
    documentclass: article
    pdf-engine: xelatex
    geometry: margin=1in
    fig-pos: H
    include-in-header:
      text: |
        \usepackage{placeins}
        \usepackage{float}
        \usepackage{graphicx}
        \pagestyle{plain}
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          \begin{figure}[H]
            \centering
            \includegraphics[width=0.92\textwidth,height=0.84\textheight,keepaspectratio]{#1}%
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---

\clearpage
\phantomsection
\addcontentsline{toc}{section}{Study 1: Experimental Materials}
\renewcommand{\thefigure}{S1.\arabic{figure}}
\setcounter{figure}{0}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen01_welcome.png}{Welcome screen.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen02_introduction_ai_chat.png}{Introduction: AI chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen02b_introduction_human_chat.png}{Introduction: human chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen02c_introduction_human_nochat.png}{Introduction: human, no chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen02d_introduction_ai_nochat.png}{Introduction: AI, no chat.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen03_inflation_explanation.png}{Inflation definition.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen04_inflation_examples.png}{Inflation examples.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen05_initial_forecast.png}{Initial forecast.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen06_forecast_explanation.png}{Forecast explanation.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen07_information_sources.png}{Information sources.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen08_chat_introduction_ai_chat.png}{Instructions: AI chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen08b_chat_introduction_human_chat.png}{Instructions: human chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen08c_chat_introduction_human_nochat.png}{Instructions: human, no chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen08d_chat_introduction_ai_nochat.png}{Instructions: AI, no chat.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen09_lobby_ai_chat.png}{Lobby: AI chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen09b_lobby_human.png}{Lobby: human partner.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen09c_lobby_ai_nochat.png}{Lobby: AI, no chat.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen10_pre_discussion_ai_chat.png}{Review: AI chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen10b_pre_discussion_human_chat.png}{Review: human chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen10c_pre_discussion_human_nochat.png}{Review: human, no chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen10d_pre_discussion_ai_nochat.png}{Review: AI, no chat.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen11_discussion_ai_chat.png}{Conversation: AI chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen11b_discussion_human_chat.png}{Conversation: human chat.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen12_revised_forecast.png}{Revised forecast: AI chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen12b_revised_forecast_human_chat.png}{Revised forecast: human chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen12c_revised_forecast_ai_nochat.png}{Revised forecast: AI, no chat.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen13_revision_reasoning.png}{Revision explanation: AI chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen13b_revision_reasoning_human_chat.png}{Revision explanation: human chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen13c_revision_reasoning_human_nochat.png}{Revision explanation: human, no chat.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen13d_revision_reasoning_ai_nochat.png}{Revision explanation: AI, no chat.}

\screen{../materials/study1/screen14_demographics.png}{Demographic questions.}
\screen{../materials/study1/screen15_thank_you.png}{Completion screen.}

\FloatBarrier
\clearpage
\phantomsection
\addcontentsline{toc}{section}{Study 2: Experimental Materials}
\renewcommand{\thefigure}{S2.\arabic{figure}}
\setcounter{figure}{0}

\screen{../materials/study2/screen01_welcome.png}{Welcome screen.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen02_introduction.png}{Introduction.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen03_inflation_explanation.png}{Inflation definition.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen04_inflation_examples.png}{Inflation examples.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen05_initial_forecast.png}{Initial forecast.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen06_forecast_explanation.png}{Forecast explanation.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen07_information_sources.png}{Information sources.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen08_chat_introduction.png}{Chat instructions.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen09_lobby.png}{Chatbot lobby.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen10_pre_discussion.png}{Pre-conversation review.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen11_discussion.png}{Conversation.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen12_revised_forecast.png}{Revised forecast.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen13_revision_reasoning.png}{Revision explanation.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen14_demographics.png}{Demographic questions.}
\screen{../materials/study2/screen15_thank_you.png}{Completion screen.}

\FloatBarrier
\clearpage
\phantomsection
\addcontentsline{toc}{section}{Study 3: Experimental Materials}
\renewcommand{\thefigure}{S3.\arabic{figure}}
\setcounter{figure}{0}

\screen{../materials/study3/screen01_welcome.png}{Welcome screen.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen02_introduction.png}{Introduction.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen03_inflation_explanation.png}{Inflation definition.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen04_inflation_examples.png}{Inflation examples.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen05_initial_forecast.png}{Initial forecast.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen06_uncertainty_initial.png}{Initial uncertainty distribution.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen07_forecast_explanation.png}{Forecast explanation.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen08_information_sources.png}{Information sources.}

\screen{../materials/study3/screen09_chat_introduction_factors.png}{Instructions: baseline and optimized prompts.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen09b_chat_introduction_unrelated.png}{Instructions: control prompt.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen10_lobby.png}{Chatbot lobby.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen11_pre_discussion_factors.png}{Pre-conversation review.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen12_discussion_factors.png}{Conversation: baseline and optimized prompts.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen12b_discussion_unrelated.png}{Conversation: control prompt.}

\screen{../materials/study3/screen13_revised_forecast.png}{Revised forecast.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen14_uncertainty_revised.png}{Revised uncertainty distribution.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen15_revision_reasoning.png}{Revision explanation.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen16_demographics.png}{Demographic questions.}
\screen{../materials/study3/screen17_thank_you.png}{Completion screen.}

\FloatBarrier
